Tables
US1. In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track? |
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April ‘04 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Right direction |
38% |
13 |
35 |
65 |
43 |
33 |
Wrong track |
48% |
73 |
52 |
21 |
46 |
50 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
14% |
14 |
14 |
14 |
11 |
17 |
January ‘04 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Right direction |
47% |
25 |
47 |
75 |
54 |
41 |
Wrong track |
38% |
56 |
37 |
16 |
33 |
42 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
15% |
19 |
16 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
Sept ‘03 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Right direction |
36% |
20 |
30 |
61 |
43 |
31 |
Wrong track |
52% |
72 |
52 |
25 |
45 |
58 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
12% |
9 |
18 |
14 |
12 |
12 |
Last April ‘03 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Right direction |
55% |
35 |
51 |
77 |
60 |
50 |
Wrong track |
32% |
49 |
34 |
14 |
30 |
34 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
13% |
17 |
15 |
9 |
10 |
17 |
US2. How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as President—excellent, good, only fair, or poor? |
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April ‘04 |
All |
Dem |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Excellent |
15% |
1 |
10 |
31 |
19 |
12 |
Good |
28% |
11 |
27 |
44 |
27 |
28 |
Only fair |
27% |
35 |
36 |
17 |
26 |
29 |
Poor |
29% |
50 |
25 |
7 |
28 |
30 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
1% |
1 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
2 |
January ‘04 |
All |
Dem |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Excellent |
17% |
4 |
11 |
36 |
23 |
12 |
Good |
34% |
17 |
44 |
53 |
33 |
36 |
Only fair |
28% |
45 |
29 |
7 |
24 |
32 |
Poor |
19% |
33 |
13 |
4 |
19 |
19 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
2% |
2 |
4 |
-- |
2 |
2 |
Sept ‘03 |
All |
Dem |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Excellent |
16% |
3 |
7 |
36 |
22 |
11 |
Good |
28% |
18 |
35 |
40 |
29 |
28 |
Only fair |
29% |
36 |
41 |
17 |
24 |
33 |
Poor |
26% |
43 |
16 |
6 |
24 |
27 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
1% |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
Last April ‘03 |
All |
Dem |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
Excellent |
28% |
6 |
23 |
52 |
32 |
24 |
Good |
34% |
32 |
36 |
37 |
33 |
35 |
Only fair |
21% |
33 |
21 |
9 |
20 |
23 |
Poor |
16% |
28 |
15 |
2 |
14 |
17 |
Don’t know/Unsure |
1% |
1 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
US3a. [Ask of half the sample] Later this year, there will be an election for President of the United States. If the election were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE] ? If "unsure," or "don’t know" ask "which way do you lean?" |
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April ’04/Base=405 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|||||
George Bush, the Republican Candidate |
40% |
10 |
26 |
78 |
47 |
35 |
|||||
lean Bush |
7% |
2 |
20 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
|||||
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate |
41% |
75 |
31 |
9 |
40 |
42 |
|||||
lean Kerry |
7% |
8 |
13 |
3 |
3 |
10 |
|||||
Other/Don’t know (vol) |
4% |
5 |
9 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
|||||
US3b. [Ask of half the sample] Later this year, there will be an election for President of the United States. If the election were held today do you think you would vote for …. or …. [ROTATE] or Ralph Nader, a third party candidate? If "unsure," or "don’t know" ask "which way do you lean?" |
|||||||||||
April ’04/Base=397 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|||||
George Bush, the Republican Candidate |
42% |
8 |
33 |
80 |
47 |
38 |
|||||
lean Bush |
6% |
3 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
|||||
John Kerry, the Democratic candidate |
37% |
69 |
22 |
8 |
34 |
38 |
|||||
lean Kerry |
7% |
10 |
22 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
|||||
Ralph Nader |
4% |
5 |
7 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
|||||
lean Nader |
1% |
2 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
1 |
|||||
Other/Unsure (vol) |
3% |
3 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|||||
Generic Comparison: As you know, there will be an election for President next year. If the election were held today, and George Bush were the Republican candidate, would you vote for him or would you vote for his Democratic opponent, or someone else? |
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January ‘04 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|||||
Bush |
40% |
9 |
33 |
82 |
45 |
35 |
|||||
Democratic opponent |
32% |
60 |
14 |
4 |
28 |
35 |
|||||
Someone else [don’t read] |
10% |
14 |
11 |
4 |
12 |
9 |
|||||
Unsure [don’t read] |
18% |
16 |
43 |
10 |
15 |
21 |
|||||
Sept. ‘03 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Men |
Women |
|||||
Bush |
36% |
11 |
27 |
72 |
43 |
30 |
|||||
Democrat |
29% |
51 |
11 |
7 |
23 |
33 |
|||||
Someone else [don’t read] |
17% |
21 |
26 |
8 |
15 |
19 |
|||||
Unsure [don’t read] |
18% |
17 |
35 |
13 |
18 |
18 |
US4 Now turning to a different matter… How closely have you been following news about the war in Iraq? |
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|
|
How well are things going in Iraq… |
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|
All |
Very well |
Fairly well |
Not too well |
Not well at all |
|
Very closely |
50% |
71 |
42 |
42 |
64 |
|
Somewhat closely |
42% |
22 |
48 |
48 |
33 |
|
Not too closely |
8% |
6 |
9 |
10 |
2 |
|
Not at all closely |
1% |
2 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
US5 How well is the U.S. military effort in Iraq going…? |
|||||||
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep. |
Jan ‘03 |
Sept. ‘03 |
Change from Jan. to April. |
|
Very well |
17% |
11 |
16 |
24 |
21% |
21 |
-4 |
Fairly well |
38% |
23 |
41 |
54 |
48% |
40 |
-10 |
Not to well |
27% |
40 |
26 |
15 |
19% |
25 |
+8 |
Not at all well |
12% |
21 |
4 |
3 |
8% |
10 |
+4 |
Unsure |
6% |
5 |
14 |
4 |
3% |
4 |
+2 |
US6 Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake? |
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Party |
President’s Job Rating |
Gender |
||||||||
April ‘04 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Men |
Women |
Right thing |
47 |
22 |
42 |
75 |
95 |
74 |
33 |
9 |
54 |
42 |
Mistake |
43 |
69 |
48 |
16 |
3 |
11 |
54 |
86 |
39 |
47 |
Don’t know (vol.) |
10 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
2 |
15 |
14 |
6 |
7 |
12 |
Jan. ‘04 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Men |
Women |
Right thing |
55% |
35 |
57 |
82 |
94 |
77 |
34 |
15 |
58 |
52 |
Mistake |
37% |
57 |
33 |
12 |
3 |
11 |
56 |
83 |
35 |
38 |
Don’t know (vol.) |
8% |
8 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
11 |
10 |
2 |
7 |
9 |
Sept ‘03 |
All |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Rep |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Men |
Women |
Right thing |
54% |
34 |
52 |
80 |
97 |
84 |
36 |
15 |
62 |
47 |
Mistake |
40% |
59 |
40 |
15 |
2 |
10 |
51 |
82 |
33 |
45 |
Don’t know (vol.) |
6% |
7 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
3 |
4 |
8 |
Last April ‘03 |
All |
Dem |
Ind. |
Rep |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Men |
Women |
Right thing |
67% |
49 |
66 |
86 |
97 |
84 |
45 |
11 |
73 |
62 |
Mistake |
23% |
40 |
26 |
6 |
2 |
7 |
37 |
79 |
20 |
27 |
Don’t Know (vol.) |
10% |
10 |
8 |
8 |
2 |
9 |
19 |
10 |
8 |
12 |
Contacts:
Rick Thigpen, academic associate, 609-394-0888.
Steve Salmore, research professor of political science:
973-292-3633.
Peter Woolley, coordinator: 973-443-8725
Radio actuality line: (201) 692-2846.
For more information, please call (201) 692-7032.
see also:
Survey Analysis
Salmore's Analysis
Thigpen's Analysis
Survey Details