FDU PublicMind - October 31, 2008 Release

Tables

Table 1A: Party ID and age

Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….?
rotate names		Party ID			age				Oct	Sep	June
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	18-29	30-44	45-59	60+	2008	2008	2008
Obama	50								47	42	46%
lean Obama	3								4	5	3%
total Obama	53%	87	30	7	83	53	51	45	50%	47%	49%
McCain	32								33	37	31%
lean McCain	3								4	4	2%
total McCain	35%	6	37	86	15	35	40	39	37%	41%	33%
Unsure	10%	6	27	5	2	9	8	13	11%	11%	15%
neither/other	2%	1	6	1	--	3	2	2	3%	2%	3%

Table 1B: by economy, race, gender, race and gender

Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….?
	All	In six months the economy will be…			race		gender		white x gender
		better	Same	worse	White	Non-white	men	wom	men	Women
Total Obama	53%	57	55	49	44	80	50	56	41	48
Total McCain	35%	31	34	37	44	10	42	29	51	37
undecided	10%	11	10	11	10	8	7	13	7	13
other	2%	1	1	3	2	3	2	2	1	2

Table 1C: by Democratic primary preference

Question: And in the upcoming elections for President of the United States, which candidate are you most likely to vote for…or….?
		Dem. primary vote N=449
	All	Clinton	Not Clinton
Total Obama	53%	85	88
Total McCain	35%	8	5
undecided	10%	5	7
other	2%	1	1

Table 2

Question: No matter who wins the election, how much will the outcome affect New Jersey…?
			Party ID			In 6 months, economy will be…
		All	Dem	Ind	Rep.	better	same	worse
	A lot	57%	61	50	56	49	57	66
	Some	20%	19	19	21	22	23	14
	Just a little	7%	7	5	6	9	6	7
	No effect at all	6%	4	8	8	9	4	6
	Don’t know/ref. (vol)	11%	10	18	8	11	10	6

Table 3

Question: No matter who wins the election, how much will the outcome affect your life personally…?
			Party ID			In 6 months, economy will be…
		All	Dem	Ind	Rep.	better	same	worse
	A lot	47%	51	37	48	42	44	57
	Some	27%	25	26	31	28	31	21
	Just a little	9%	8	7	10	10	11	6
	No effect at all	9%	8	17	6	12	8	7
	Don’t know/ref. (vol)	8%	9	13	6	7	6	9

Table 4

Question: Six months from now do you expect the economy will be better, worse, or about the same?
rotate names		Party ID			Oct.
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	7th
Better	31	32	28	30	31%
Worse	20	19	26	19	17%
About the same	36	37	33	37	42%
Depends (vol.)	8	6	7	11	3%
don’t know (vol)	5	6	6	3	7%

Table 5

Question US1: In your opinion, do you believe that the country is moving in the right direction or do you believe it has gotten off on the wrong track?
	All	Dem.	Ind.	Rep.	Men	Women
Right direction	13%	12	10	17	15	11
Wrong track	78%	82	80	68	75	80
Unsure	9%	6	10	14	10	8
*Oct. 7th*
Right direction	15%	10	15	22	18	13
Wrong track	78%	86	76	69	76	79
Unsure	7%	4	9	9	6	8
*Sept 08*
Right direction	19%	9	16	33	21	17
Wrong track	72%	87	70	52	68	75
Unsure	9%	4	13	15	11	8
*June 08*
Right direction	15%	10	14	26	14	16
Wrong track	74%	83	76	60	77	72
Unsure	10%	7	10	14	9	12
*April-08*
Right direction	18%	11%	9%	34%	22%	15%
Wrong track	69%	82%	70%	49%	67%	72%
Unsure/don’t know	12%	7%	21%	17%	12%	13%
*Feb. ‘08*
Right direction	21%	13	22	34	24	18
Wrong track	66%	80	60	49	68	65
Unsure	13%	6	17	17	8	17
*Jan-08*
Right direction	19%	10	17	33	22	16
Wrong track	74%	87	74	54	72	76
Unsure	8%	4	9	13	6	8

Question US2: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
	All	Dem	Ind	Rep	Oct 7th	Sep ‘08	Jun ‘08	Apr ‘08	Feb ‘08	Jan 08	Oct '07	Sep ‘07	Jun ‘07
Approve	16%	4	12	37	17%	22	18	26	23	23	26	27	24
Disapprove	76%	93	75	50	76%	71	75	68	65	69	66	65	68
Unsure/ref.	8%	3	14	12	7%	7	7	6	11	7	7	8	8

Question: [Ask Democrats and lean Democrat only] Who did you vote for way back in February in the presidential primary election…?
	All	men	women
Clinton	31%	24	37
Obama	33%	37	30
Someone else	4%	6	2
Didn’t vote	25%	29	22
Don’t recall	5%	2	7
Ref.	2%	3	1

Question: [If employed, ask…] How worried are you that you might lose your job in the next 12 months…?
N=562 MoE = +/- 4		ALL	18-29	30-44	45-59	60+	Oct 7	June
	Very worried	14%	12	15	16	10	12%	7%
	Somewhat worried	21%	17	27	20	15	18%	17%
	Not very worried	20%	9	19	23	17	18%	21%
	Not at all worried	44%	62	38	41	57	52%	53%
	Don’t know/ref. (vol)	1%	--	2	--	1	1%	2%

All